Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.018460 0.020525 0.022597 0.024825 0.027148 0.029493 0.032035
2025-03-16 0.014143 0.017332 0.020660 0.024364 0.028342 0.032465 0.037037
2025-03-23 0.011806 0.015631 0.019747 0.024438 0.029579 0.034993 0.041080
2025-03-30 0.009787 0.014007 0.018683 0.024129 0.030201 0.036682 0.044050
2025-04-06 0.008057 0.012519 0.017612 0.023668 0.030527 0.037935 0.046438
2025-04-13 0.006247 0.010750 0.016077 0.022560 0.030025 0.038187 0.047646
2025-04-20 0.005509 0.010219 0.015932 0.022994 0.031210 0.040262 0.050813
2025-04-27 0.004526 0.009274 0.015219 0.022704 0.031522 0.041320 0.052815
2025-05-04 0.003583 0.008277 0.014372 0.022200 0.031540 0.042008 0.054367
2025-05-11 0.003046 0.007785 0.014121 0.022380 0.032327 0.043544 0.056847
2025-05-18 0.002450 0.007131 0.013616 0.022217 0.032683 0.044566 0.058726
2025-05-25 0.001840 0.006363 0.012910 0.021768 0.032671 0.045142 0.060080
2025-06-01 0.001352 0.005756 0.012449 0.021689 0.033192 0.046442 0.062391
2025-06-08 0.000835 0.004965 0.011693 0.021227 0.033261 0.047241 0.064166
2025-06-15 0.000543 0.004512 0.011376 0.021299 0.033954 0.048745 0.066727
2025-06-22 0.000266 0.003928 0.010809 0.021009 0.034177 0.049678 0.068612
2025-06-29 0.000074 0.003333 0.010164 0.020576 0.034196 0.050348 0.070175
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002550 0.009115 0.019537 0.033418 0.050043 0.070580
2025-07-13 NaN 0.002395 0.009113 0.019943 0.034459 0.051904 0.073502
2025-07-20 NaN 0.002008 0.008650 0.019672 0.034619 0.052695 0.075161
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001593 0.008069 0.019200 0.034500 0.053133 0.076393
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001418 0.007935 0.019368 0.035204 0.054561 0.078782
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001166 0.007596 0.019215 0.035475 0.055454 0.080532